BBC Weather: Carol Kirkwood forecasts high pressure
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August has seen a largely disappointing spell of weather, dominated by overcast and cloudy conditions as temperatures only just nudge above the early 20s. But now there is a band of high pressure hovering over the UK and could nudge maximum temperature up towards 24C this week. This will see sunbathers flock to parks and beaches with temperatures pushing their way past “a few degrees above normal”.
The band of scorching air is travelling northwards from the west coast of Portugal and will blitz over the UK for the rest of August and into September.
Southeast England will likely see “normal temperatures”, but central and northern regions of the country could see “slightly to moderately above normal by a few degrees”.
AccuWeather meteorologist Alyssa Smithmyer told Express.co.uk: “A current look at how temperatures are faring with respect to what is average for this time of year is that most places across the United Kingdom is a few degrees above normal.
“There is currently an area of high pressure lingering over the United Kingdom, which is allowing for largely fine and settled weather.
“This feature can also contribute to warmer air across the region since this warm air mass travelled northward from the west coast of Portugal and originated from much warmer regions.
“This area of high pressure will linger throughout this week but will eventually adapt to the relatively cooler northern air and lose its warm influence.”
As Britain heads into September, the UK and Southern England in particular will likely experience temperatures that are much closer to average for this time of year.
But there is a chance the mercury could edge up by at least a few degrees compared to the average daily temperature for this time of year.
Central England and northern regions could benefit greatly from this, with slightly warmer than normal temperatures being recorded for the next few weeks.
The AccuWeather meteorologist explained: “As we look at the next few weeks, however, the general pattern as we shift through this last week of August and into the month of September is that much of southern England will see temperatures close to what is average for this time of year, perhaps a few select days hovering a few degrees slightly above the average daily temperature.
“But the pattern for areas, including London, look to remain close to normal.
“In reference to that, ‘normal’ temperatures across London for the last week of August hover around 68-69 degrees F (20-20.6C) typically.
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“Normal temperatures by the last week in September are expected to slowly lower to be around 62-64 degrees F (16.7-17.8C).
“As we look at the pattern set up for central England and northern regions of the United Kingdom, however, it points to slightly warmer than normal temperatures being recorded for the next few weeks.”
Looking ahead to the middle of September, Ms Smithmyer added the majority of the UK will see “normal temperatures” for this time of the year, a trend which is expected to continue for the remainder of the month, although northern areas could be “slightly warmer than normal by a few degrees”.
The Weather Outlook has also forecast that while it is likely temperatures heading into the August bank holiday weekend will be “close to average”, there is a chance of it being slightly warmer in the south of the country.
A large spell of dry weather is expected in southern and eastern counties, however there is an increased risk of rain elsewhere.
The Weather Outlook said: At this stage close to average temperatures are favoured during the August Bank Holiday weekend, although there is a chance of it being warm in the south.
“A good deal of dry weather is probable in southern and eastern counties, but the risk of rain is greater in the north and west.”
For the period from August 27 until September 5, the Met Office has said: “The last week in August and into September is likely to be dominated by high pressure resulting in fine and settled weather across the UK.
“This will bring variable amounts of cloud, sunny spells, a few light showers and mainly light winds but some fog patches overnight, which clear during early morning.
“It looks increasingly likely that these settled conditions will persist through much of this period, with perhaps weak frontal systems bringing some light rain and showers at times.
“Winds likely to be light to moderate for most, with breezier conditions towards the edge of the high pressure in the far south, where it may feel cooler.” Temperatures are likely to be rather warm in the west but near average and cool in the east below any persistent cloud.
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