GLASGOW (NYTIMES) – At least six major automakers – including Ford, Mercedes-Benz, General Motors and Volvo – and 31 national governments pledged on Wednesday (Nov 10) to work towards phasing out sales of new gasoline and diesel-powered vehicles by 2040 worldwide, and by 2035 in “leading markets”.
But some of the world’s biggest car manufacturers, including Toyota, Volkswagen and the Nissan-Renault alliance, did not join the pledge, which is not legally binding. The governments of the United States, China and Japan, three of the largest car markets, also abstained.
The announcement, made during international climate talks here, was hailed by climate advocates as yet another sign that the days of the internal combustion engine could soon be numbered.
Electric vehicles continue to set new global sales records each year and major car companies have recently begun investing tens of billions of dollars to retool their factories and churn out new battery-powered cars and light trucks.
“Having these major players making these commitments, though we need to make sure that they follow through, is really significant,” said Ms Margo Oge, a former senior United States air quality official who now advises both environmental groups and auto companies.
“It really tells us that these companies, and their boards, accept that the future is electric.”
The automakers that signed the pledge accounted for roughly one quarter of global sales in 2019.
Countries that joined the coalition included Britain, Canada, India, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland and Sweden. The addition of India was especially notable, since it is the world’s fourth-largest auto market and has not previously committed to eliminating emissions from its cars on a specific timeline.
Other countries vowing for the first time to sell only zero-emissions vehicles by a set date included Turkey, Croatia, Ghana and Rwanda.
California and Washington state also signed the pledge. Last year, Governor Gavin Newsom of California signed an executive order saying that only new zero-emissions vehicles would be sold in the state by 2035, though regulators have not yet issued rules to make that happen. Washington had not previously made such a formal pledge.
The agreement states that automakers will “work towards reaching 100 per cent zero-emission new car and van sales in leading markets by 2035 or earlier, supported by a business strategy that is in line with achieving this ambition, as we help build customer demand”.
Zero-emissions vehicles could include either plug-in electric vehicles or hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles, although the latter have struggled to gain market share.
Electric cars can still indirectly produce emissions if, for instance, they are recharged with power from plants that burn coal or natural gas. But they are generally considered cleaner overall than combustion engine vehicles and do not create pollution from their tailpipes.
Two dozen vehicle fleet operators, including Uber and LeasePlan, also joined the coalition, vowing to operate only zero-emissions vehicles by 2030, “or earlier where markets allow”.
Worldwide, transportation accounts for roughly one-fifth of humanity’s carbon dioxide emissions that are responsible for climate change, with a little less than half of that coming from passenger vehicles such as cars and vans.
In recent years, spurred by concerns about global warming and air pollution, governments around the world – including China, the US and European Union – have begun heavily subsidising electric vehicles and imposing more stringent emissions standards on new gasoline- and diesel-fuelled cars.
The cost of lithium-ion batteries has also declined by roughly 80 per cent since 2013, according to BloombergNEF, an energy research group, making electric vehicles increasingly competitive with traditional combustion engine vehicles, though many consumers remain wary of the new technology because of concerns like the availability of charging stations.
“We have the technology to make clean road transport a reality and today it’s clear we have the willpower to do it in the next decade,” said Mr Nigel Topping, who was appointed by the British government to the United Nations to be a “high level climate action champion”.
Some of the automakers that signed the agreement had already pledged to clean up the cars they produce. GM said in January that it aimed to stop selling new gasoline-powered cars and light trucks by 2035 and will pivot to battery-powered vehicles. Volvo had said it expected its car line-up to be fully electric by 2030.
But the pledge appeared to commit some of the signatories to doing more than they had previously promised. Ford, which this year introduced an electric version of its bestselling F-150 pickup truck, had previously said it expected only 40 per cent of its global vehicle mix to be electric by 2030.
“We are moving now to deliver breakthrough electric vehicles for the many rather than the few,” said Ms Cynthia Williams, global director of sustainability at Ford.
The other two automakers that signed the pledge were BYD, a Chinese automaker that has made major inroads selling electric cars in Europe, as well as Jaguar-Land Rover.
Some of the major automakers that did not sign the agreement are nonetheless investing heavily in electric vehicle technology. Volkswagen, which six years ago confessed to rigging its diesel cars to conceal illegally high emissions, has since outlined plans to spend tens of billions of dollars to build six battery factories, install a global network of charging stations and roll out more than 80 new electric models by 2025.
Mr Nicolai Laude, a Volkswagen spokesman, said while the German automaker was committed to a rapid shift towards electric vehicles, it did not join the new pledge. This is because the global nature of its business meant it had to be mindful that “regions developing at different speed combined with different local prerequisites need different pathways” to zero emissions.
Toyota, the world’s bestselling automaker last year, was also notably missing from the list of signatories, though it announced plans this year to sell 15 electric vehicle models around the world by 2025.
The Japanese automaker has been more cautious on electric vehicle technology, continuing to bet on alternatives like hydrogen-powered fuel cell vehicles.
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